Hero picks up QcQh in middle position.
Villian1 in early position raises to 3.5x BB.
Hero calls.
Villian2 on the button calls. Three players see the flop. Pot = 11.5 BB.
Flop comes: Kd2c9d.
Villian1 checks.
Hero bets about 2/3s the pot (8 BB). Pot = 19.5 BB.
Villian2 folds.
Villian1 calls. Pot = 27.5 BB.
Turn 4s. Board: Kd2c9d4d.
Villian checks.
Hero checks.
River Js. Board: Kd2c9d4dJs
BB bets 24 BB. Pot = 51.5 BB.
Now this may seem pretty straight forward, but the hand ended up being a difficult one for me to figure out.
On the flop my opponent called - I immediately put my opponent on a flush draw, something like Axs, or something like KJ or KQ. I felt like the turn card bascially shut me out of the hand and made me pretty sure that I was beat. What I found weird this hand was that my opponent bet so much on the end. If I was playing the hand with a flush I would NEVER bet a pot sized bet with the flush. You are not ever going to get called right? So I started to figure out what was more likely - a hand like JQ did hit a pair there on the end or a A9 with a diamond. These hands might try to bluff this pot based on the scare flush out there. It just didnt' make sense to me why a decent player would make this sort of bet without the nuts unless they were very relatively sure I would fold. A decent player would have noticed that I shut down on the turn - maybe he was just trying to steal?
So I convinced myself that my queens might be good and called.
Villian shows 2s2h for three 2s.
So my opponent made a very smart bet there on the river - intentional or not, it is a very interesting thing to think about.
If he could be pretty sure that I didn't have the flush, but I could have a pretty strong hand, it would be a far better play to throw out a bet that looks like a bluff. Forcing me to consider calling. If he had bet a 1/2-pot or 1/3-pot sized bet I would have folded instantly.
Now, that all being said... my play was terrible. If I thought my opponent was bluffing - I should have raised. But even if I was 50% sure he was bluffing, folding here would not have been terrible. He might have had KJ with a diamond and had top pair and a good draw on the flop... The river would have made him two pair - and this might have encouraged him to bet so much - putting me on a hand like AK.
Its hard to get inside another player's head, but that higher level poker thinking can be really tough - and in this case - I thought too much, and didn't trust my first feeling that I should just fold and move on to another hand...
Thursday, July 06, 2006
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